Greece vs Germany Prediction and Match Preview
KlinPredict brings you this Greece vs Germany prediction for the UEFA Nations League League A match on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Kickoff is 21:45 in Greece (20:45 in Central Europe, 18:45 GMT) at Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki. The two sides met one week earlier in Augsburg, and Greece won 1-0.
Greece vs Germany Nations League Match Details
| Competition | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League A, Group A2, Matchday 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 21:45 Greek time (18:45 GMT) |
| Venue | Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki |
| Home team | Greece (coach: Ivan Jovanović) |
| Away team | Germany (coach: Jürgen Klopp) |
KlinPredict’s Key Greece vs Germany Predictions
| Market | KlinPredict Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Match Winner (1X2, 90 minutes) | Greece to Win | 🟡 Moderate |
| Double Chance | Greece Win or Draw (1X) | 🟢 High |
| Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | No | 🟡 Moderate |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | 🟡 Moderate |
| Correct Score | 1-0 to Greece | 🟡 Moderate |
Greece Form Ahead of Greece vs Germany
Greece, coached by Ivan Jovanović, have won both of their first two games in League A. They opened with a 2-1 win at Serbia on September 24. Serbia scored in the 4th minute through Andrija Živković, but Christos Tzolis equalised in the 74th minute. Anastasios Douvikas then headed the winner in the fourth minute of added time. Greece followed that with a 1-0 win at Germany on September 27, with substitute Dimitrios Kourbelis scoring in the 74th minute. It was Greece’s first win over Germany, and it leaves them top of Group A2 with six points. They play the Netherlands at home on October 1, so this form may change before the game.
Germany Form Ahead of Greece vs Germany
Germany, coached by Jürgen Klopp, are still waiting for their first win under him. They drew 1-1 with the Netherlands in Amsterdam, where Cody Gakpo equalised late. Then they lost 0-1 to Greece at home in Augsburg. Germany sit third in the group with one point, and they have conceded in seven games in a row. Klopp named two separate squads of 44 players for this break, so the group that plays Greece in Thessaloniki will be largely different from the group that played in Augsburg. Germany host Serbia on October 1 first.
Greece vs Germany H2H: Recent Meetings
The Greece vs Germany H2H record has always favoured Germany, until now. Germany had not lost in their first 10 meetings with Greece before the September 27 game.
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Germany 0-1 Greece |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Friendly | Germany 2-1 Greece |
| Jun 2012 | Euro 2012 quarter-final | Germany 4-2 Greece |
The September 27 game was the only one of these three with fewer than three goals.
Greece vs Germany Team News
Germany have several injury problems. Kai Havertz has left the camp with a suspected hamstring injury, and Jamal Musiala pulled out after a thigh muscle injury in the warm-up. Nico Schlotterbeck is out of both the Serbia and Greece games with an ankle ligament injury, and the DFB said no replacement will be called up. Florian Wirtz and Jonathan Burkardt joined the squad early and came off the bench against Greece.
Greece have not announced any injury news. Jovanović named his squad for all four opening Nations League games. Starting lineups for both teams were not confirmed at the time of writing.
Greece vs Germany Key Statistics
| Stat (Nations League 2026/27) | Greece | Germany |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 2 | 2 |
| Record | 2 wins | 1 draw, 1 loss |
| Points | 6 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 1 |
| Goals conceded | 1 | 2 |
| Head coach | Ivan Jovanović | Jürgen Klopp |
| Venue status | Home | Away |
Greece vs Germany Match Analysis
Greece arrive with confidence, and Germany arrive under pressure. Greece have shown they can win in different ways, with a comeback in Belgrade and a tight, organised display in Augsburg. Germany had most of the ball in the first half of that game, but they still could not score. With Havertz, Musiala and Schlotterbeck missing and a largely different squad coming in, Klopp has less time to build a clear plan. Germany still have more depth and star quality, so Greece will not have it easy, but the home crowd in Thessaloniki should help them. A close game with few goals looks the most likely outcome.
Nations League Prediction: Greece vs Germany
KlinPredict’s prediction: Greece to Win Confidence: Moderate
Greece’s form, their win in the first meeting and home support make them the narrow pick in this Greece vs Germany prediction. It is not a high-confidence call, because Germany have far more depth and need points badly. Markets are settled on 90 minutes.
The Five Greece vs Germany Market Predictions Explained
Match Winner: Greece to Win. Two wins from two games and a home crowd give Greece a slight edge.
Double Chance: Greece Win or Draw. This covers the chance that Germany’s deeper squad earns a point.
Both Teams to Score: No. Germany have scored only once in two games under Klopp, and Greece conceded only once in theirs.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5. Greece’s win over Germany finished 1-0, and both sides will be careful in a game with so much at stake.
Correct Score: 1-0 to Greece. This matches the narrow margin of the last meeting and the expected tight game.
Final Verdict: Greece vs Germany Prediction
Greece lead the group and have already beaten Germany once, while Germany are searching for their first win under Klopp. The home side looks slightly better placed, but Germany’s squad quality keeps this open.
KlinPredict headline prediction: Greece to Win
Best supporting markets: Greece Win or Draw & Under 2.5 Goals
Correct Score: 1-0
For more goals-market analysis, check KlinPredict’s Over 2.5 Goals predictions page. For official fixtures and results, see the UEFA Nations League match page.
Prediction Methodology
This Greece vs Germany prediction draws on each side’s results in the 2026/27 Nations League, their head-to-head record, and confirmed squad and injury news. Starting lineups had not been announced at the time of writing, and October 1 results for both teams were not yet known. Anything unconfirmed has been left out rather than guessed at.
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