Arsenal vs Everton Prediction and Match Preview
KlinPredict brings you this Arsenal vs Everton prediction for the Premier League Matchday 8 fixture on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Kickoff is 15:00 local time in London (14:00 GMT) at the Emirates Stadium. Arsenal sit second in the table, three points behind Manchester City, and host an Everton side that has not yet won away from home this season.
Arsenal vs Everton Match Details
| Competition | Premier League 2026/27, Matchday 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 15:00 BST (14:00 GMT) |
| Venue | Emirates Stadium, London |
| Team (hosts) | Arsenal |
| Team | Everton |
| Referee | Tony Harrington |
KlinPredict’s Key Arsenal vs Everton Predictions
| Market | KlinPredict Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Match Winner (1X2, 90 minutes) | Arsenal to Win | Moderate |
| Double Chance | Arsenal Win or Draw (1X) | High |
| Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | No | Moderate |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | Moderate |
| Correct Score | 2-0 to Arsenal | Moderate |
Arsenal Form Ahead of Arsenal vs Everton
Arsenal, coached by Mikel Arteta, have won six of their seven Premier League games this season and sit second on 18 points. The only league defeat came at Brighton on September 19, a 3-0 loss, and the response since then has been steady. They beat Leeds United 2-1 at home on October 10, then won 1-0 at Nottingham Forest on October 18, with Noni Madueke scoring the winner in the 80th minute. In between, they beat Lille 3-0 in the Champions League on October 13.
The league numbers are solid at both ends. Arsenal have scored 11 goals and conceded five in seven games, and four of those matches were clean sheets: Coventry City, Aston Villa, Sunderland and Forest. At the Emirates they have won all three league games, scoring seven and conceding two, with 3-0, 2-1 and 2-1 wins over Coventry, Chelsea and Leeds.
The midweek trip to Munich brought another good result and a problem. Arsenal drew 2-2 with Bayern Munich on Wednesday night, a game they fought back to level, but Bukayo Saka went off with a quad injury inside the first 10 minutes. Arteta said afterwards that it did not look good, and reports expect Saka to miss several weeks. Christos Tzolis (hamstring) and Piero Hincapié (ankle) are both described as having an outside chance of returning, and William Saliba is listed among the injured. Arsenal have also had a short turnaround, playing in Germany on Wednesday and at home again on Saturday afternoon.
With Saka out, Arteta will have to choose between Madueke, who has just scored a winner, and the other attacking options, and reports suggest he may lean on Martin Ødegaard and Eberechi Eze in the creative roles.
Everton Form Ahead of Arsenal vs Everton
Everton, coached by David Moyes, have won two, drawn four and lost one of their seven league games, which leaves them eighth on 10 points. Their wins came against Crystal Palace (2-0) and Ipswich Town (1-0), and the draws were against Bournemouth (1-1), Manchester United (2-2), Tottenham (0-0) and Hull City (2-2). They stayed unbeaten for six games before Chelsea beat them 2-0 at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on October 17, a game in which they did not score.
The overall goals record is modest: eight scored and seven conceded in seven matches, which is a little over a goal a game at each end. Everton have scored in five of their seven league games and failed to score in two, against Tottenham and Chelsea.
Away from home the picture is a series of draws. Everton have not won any of their three league games on the road, drawing at Bournemouth (1-1), Tottenham (0-0) and Hull (2-2), scoring three and conceding three. Moyes, who returned to the club in January 2025, has built a side that is hard to beat and does not give much away, but the team has struggled to turn draws into wins.
The news from Merseyside is better. Everton have no new injury concerns, and Christian Nørgaard, who spent time at Arsenal before moving to Everton, made his debut against Chelsea after recovering from a groin problem and is likely to start again. Moyes will probably set up in a compact shape and try to hit Arsenal on the counter-attack or from set pieces.
Arsenal vs Everton H2H: Recent Meetings
Arsenal have not lost to Everton in their last five Premier League meetings, with three wins and two draws. They scored six goals and conceded two across those games. In the full history of the fixture, the teams have met 227 times, with Arsenal winning 114, Everton 65 and 48 ending level, according to Sports Mole’s count.
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Premier League | Arsenal 2-0 Everton |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Premier League | Everton 0-1 Arsenal |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Premier League | Everton 1-1 Arsenal |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Premier League | Arsenal 0-0 Everton |
| May 19, 2024 | Premier League | Arsenal 2-1 Everton |
The goals have been scarce. Only one of the last five games produced more than 2.5 goals, the 2-1 win in May 2024, and both teams scored in two of the five. The last meeting at Hill Dickinson Stadium was decided by a Viktor Gyökeres penalty in the 26th minute, and the most recent game at the Emirates, in March, finished 2-0 to Arsenal. In Premier League games at the Emirates, Arsenal have won 21 and drawn five of their 27 meetings with Everton, and Everton have won once, according to Sportsdunia’s tally.
Arsenal vs Everton Key Statistics
| Stat (Premier League 2026/27) | Arsenal | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Record | 6 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss | 2 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss |
| Points | 18 | 10 |
| League position | 2nd | 8th |
| Goals scored | 11 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Home / away record | 3 wins from 3 at home | 3 draws from 3 away |
| Head coach | Mikel Arteta | David Moyes |
| Pre-match win probability (data provider) | 67.7% | 12.6% (draw 19.7%) |
| Venue status | Home | Away |
Arsenal vs Everton Match Analysis
The table says this is a mismatch, and the model probabilities agree: one data provider gives Arsenal a 67.7% chance, the draw 19.7% and Everton 12.6%. Arsenal are second and have the best home record in the division, while Everton have drawn four of their seven league games and have not found a way to win on the road.
What makes it less straightforward is the team news. Losing Saka is a real blow, because he has been central to how Arsenal create chances down the right, and the squad is also short of Saliba and Tzolis. Arsenal still have enough quality in midfield and attack to cope, but the depth is being tested at a time when they are chasing City. They also played in Munich three days earlier, so fresh legs and rotation will be on Arteta’s mind.
Everton will want to make the game awkward. Their record under Moyes is built on defensive shape, compact lines and not conceding early, and their draws at Tottenham, Bournemouth and Hull show that approach working. The problem is that they have scored only three goals in three away league games and will need a set piece or a counter-attack to find a way through. An Arsenal team that has kept four clean sheets in seven is not an easy defence to break down.
The pressure is on the hosts. Manchester City have won all seven of their league games, so every dropped point matters, and Arsenal cannot afford to treat a mid-table visitor lightly. The most likely game is one in which Arsenal dominate the ball, Everton defend deep and a goal from a set piece or a quick break opens the contest. A narrow home win is the likeliest result, with a draw the main alternative if Everton’s block holds.
Premier League Prediction: Arsenal vs Everton
KlinPredict’s prediction: Arsenal to Win Confidence: Moderate
Arsenal’s home form and Everton’s record away from Goodison Park make the hosts the clear favourites, but the confidence is moderate because of the injuries and the short turnaround after Munich. Everton have not lost many games this season and have shown they can stay in a match, so a draw is a real possibility. Markets are settled on 90 minutes.
The Five Market Predictions Explained
Match Winner: Arsenal to Win. Arsenal have won all three home league games and Everton have not won away from home. The hosts have the stronger squad even without Saka.
Double Chance: Arsenal Win or Draw (1X). This is the safest of the five markets. Arsenal have not lost to Everton in five league meetings and have lost at home in the league only once in their last 27 meetings with this opponent.
Both Teams to Score: No. Everton have scored only three goals in three away league games and have been shut out in two of their seven league matches. Arsenal have kept four clean sheets in seven. The caution is that Arsenal have conceded in two of their three home games, so this is a moderate call and not a certain one.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5. This is the market where the data disagrees most. All three of Arsenal’s home league games this season produced exactly three goals, which points the other way. Against that, four of the last five meetings with Everton finished under this line, Everton’s league games often end 1-0 or 0-0, and Saka’s absence lowers Arsenal’s attacking options. The lean is towards under, with moderate confidence.
Correct Score: 2-0 to Arsenal. This matches the result of the last meeting at the Emirates and the winning margin in two of Arsenal’s last three wins over Everton. Correct score is the hardest market to land, so treat it as an indication of the likely shape of the game and not a sure thing.
Final Verdict: Arsenal vs Everton Prediction
Arsenal are the better side on paper and at home, but they have injuries and a tight turnaround, and Everton are a hard team to beat. The hosts should find a way, probably by a one or two goal margin, while a draw remains the main danger.
KlinPredict headline prediction: Arsenal to Win Best supporting markets: Arsenal Win or Draw (1X) and BTTS: No Correct Score: 2-0
For more goals-market analysis, check KlinPredict’s Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions page.
Prediction Methodology
This Arsenal vs Everton prediction draws on each side’s results in the 2026/27 Premier League, their head-to-head record, the current league table, and confirmed injury and coaching information. Starting lineups had not been announced at the time of writing, so only reported absences are included and anything unconfirmed has been left out rather than guessed at. Win probabilities come from a third-party data provider and are shown for context only.
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