Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi Predictions & Match Preview
KlinPredict brings you this Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi prediction, covering the Copa Paceña group stage clash at Estadio IV Centenario in Tarija on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. It’s matchday 6 of the group phase, and it is a rematch of a fixture Nacional Potosi won 5-1 less than a month ago, with Real Tomayapo sitting just one point behind the group leaders.
Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi Match Details
| Competition | Copa Paceña (Bolivia), Group Stage, Matchday 6 |
| Date | Wednesday, September 30, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 22:30 UTC (18:30 local time in Bolivia) |
| Venue | Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija (capacity 15,000) |
| Home team | Real Tomayapo |
| Away team | Nacional Potosi |
KlinPredict’s Key Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi Predictions
| Market | KlinPredict Pick | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Match Winner (1X2) | Nacional Potosi to Win | 🟢 High |
| Double Chance | Nacional Potosi Win or Draw (X2) | 🟢 High |
| Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | Yes | 🟡 Moderate |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 | 🟡 Moderate |
| Correct Score | 3-1 to Nacional Potosi | 🟡 Moderate |
What Happened in the Last Round
Both sides arrive on the back of very different weekends. Nacional Potosi thrashed Always Ready 9-0 at Estadio Victor Agustin Ugarte on Friday, September 25, with Willan Alvarez scoring twice, Oscar Villalba a hat-trick, and Juan Jose Orellana, Mirko Tomianovic, Schneider Pena and Juan Batista also on the scoresheet. That result needs context: Always Ready fielded a youth side, with the club’s first-team players reserved for the league. Real Tomayapo, meanwhile, beat Real Oruro 2-1 at home on Sunday, September 27, with Francisco Nouet scoring on 5 minutes and David Robles netting a stoppage-time winner at 92′, after a lengthy VAR review pushed the match to the 109th minute.
Tomayapo Form Ahead of Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi
Real Tomayapo have won 3 of their 5 group games, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their results so far: a 3-0 win over Independiente Petrolero, a 1-5 defeat to Nacional Potosi, a 2-0 win over Always Ready, a 1-5 defeat away to Independiente Petrolero, and the 2-1 win over Real Oruro. Their league form has been weaker, with defeats to The Strongest (1-3), Bolivar (1-2) and Oriente Petrolero (0-2) in September. Across all competitions, they have won only 2 of their last 7 matches, though they have scored in each of their five group games.
Nacional Potosi Form Ahead of Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi lead the group on 10 points from 5 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), with 18 goals scored and just 4 conceded, the best goal difference in the group at +14. Their group results include the 5-1 win over Tomayapo, a win over Real Oruro, a 2-2 draw and a 0-1 defeat in their two meetings with Real Potosi, and the 9-0 rout of Always Ready. They are also the reigning champions of this competition, having won the 2025 Copa Paceña by beating Bolivar in the final, with Willan Alvarez topping the scoring charts that year with 15 goals.
Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi H2H: Group Standings
| Team | Pld | W | D | L | GF:GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 10 |
| Real Tomayapo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
The full group table includes other clubs. For the live table and official fixtures, see the Federacion Boliviana de Futbol Copa Paceña page.
Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi Historical Head to Head
In this Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi H2H, Nacional Potosi hold a clear edge. According to 365Scores, the record stands at 8 wins for Nacional Potosi, 3 for Tomayapo and 3 draws. The last five meetings, all since March 2025, read: a 1-1 friendly draw, a 1-0 Tomayapo defeat in July 2025, a 1-0 Nacional win in December 2025, a 4-1 Nacional win in the league on July 26, 2026, and the 5-1 Copa Paceña win on September 3, 2026. That means Nacional Potosi have won the last four competitive meetings, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 2. Other data providers record slightly different totals depending on which competitions they count.
Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi Match Analysis
The gap between these teams in front of goal is stark. Nacional Potosi average 3.6 goals per group game, while Tomayapo concede an average of 2.2. Tomayapo will take confidence from playing at home and from a late winner that keeps them in the qualification race, but they have lost their last three league fixtures and were beaten heavily in both of their group defeats. Nacional Potosi’s big win over a youth side inflates their numbers, but the 5-1 win in this exact fixture was against Tomayapo’s full team. Tomayapo have at least been consistent at scoring, which is why the visitors’ 0-1 loss and 2-2 draw against Real Potosi are a reminder that Nacional are not unbeatable.
Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi Prediction: Our Verdict
KlinPredict’s headline pick: Nacional Potosi to Win
Confidence: High
Nacional Potosi’s dominant recent record in this fixture, their group-leading attack, and Tomayapo’s defensive record all point the same way. It isn’t a maximum confidence selection because Tomayapo are at home, sit only one point behind, and Nacional Potosi have dropped points in two of their five group games.
The Five Market Predictions Explained
Match Winner: Nacional Potosi to Win. They have won each of the last four competitive meetings and have the best goal difference in the group.
Double Chance: Nacional Potosi Win or Draw (X2). Adds protection given Tomayapo’s home advantage and the visitors’ 0-1 and 2-2 results against Real Potosi.
Both Teams to Score: Yes. Tomayapo have scored in all five group games, and Nacional Potosi have conceded in three of their five.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5. Three of Tomayapo’s five group games and three of Nacional Potosi’s five went over 2.5 goals, and Tomayapo have conceded 11 in five.
Correct Score: 3-1 to Nacional Potosi. This mirrors the shape of the two most recent meetings (5-1 and 4-1), allowing for Tomayapo’s home advantage and their record of finding the net.
Final Verdict: Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi Prediction
Tomayapo have momentum from a dramatic late win and the backing of their home crowd, but Nacional Potosi’s attack, their group lead and the recent head to head record make them clear favourites in Tarija.
KlinPredict headline prediction: Nacional Potosi to Win
Best supporting markets: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS: Yes
Correct Score: 3-1
Prediction Methodology
This Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi prediction draws on each side’s latest group results, the current group standings, and the head to head record between the two clubs from 365Scores, ESPN and Bolivian press reports. Where information wasn’t confirmed by the sources checked, such as final starting lineups, injuries and suspensions, it has been left out rather than guessed at. The kickoff time is listed in UTC by our source and converted to Bolivia time (UTC-4). All information in this preview is current as of 28 September 2026 and may change closer to kickoff as official team news is confirmed.
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